Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1561SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1561 · SFO → SAN
departs 4:47 PM PT · arrives 6:39 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
24%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.