Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1793 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

UA 1793 · DCA → ORD

departs 6:30 AM ET · arrives 7:46 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DCA are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.36 in

ORD (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1793 · DCA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?