Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1862SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1862 · FAT → ORD
departs 6:00 AM PT · arrives 12:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.