Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2490 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

UA 2490 · BNA → IAH

departs 6:42 PM CT · arrives 8:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at BNA that day

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2490 · BNA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?