Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2780SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2780 · IAH → SNA
departs 12:30 PM CT · arrives 2:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
24%chance · ±1 pts−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.