Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 382 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

UA 382 · DCA → IAH

departs 12:52 PM ET · arrives 3:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ 12pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.52 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 382 · DCA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?