UA 445 · DEN → MIA

departs 4:09 PM MT · arrives 10:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 445 · DEN → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?