Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 485 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:58 AM ET, ETA 10:02 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

UA 485 · SAV → ORD

took off 8:58 AM ET · expected to land 10:02 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAV (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.13 in

ORD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 485 · SAV → ORD

Odds over time