tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 643 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 643 · SNA → IAH

departs 3:05 PM PT · arrives 8:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
27% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.