Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 106
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 106 · DAL → ECP
departs 4:35 PM CT · arrives 6:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4
Odds over time
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at ECP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ECP?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,067 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
ECP (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.95 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.