Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1483
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 1483 · MCO → MIA
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 10:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.