Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1484 LANDED 6:31 PM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Yesterday

WN 1484 · DCA → ATL

took off 5:07 PM ET · landed 6:31 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at ATL that day

↑ 4pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.13 in

ATL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling520 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1484 · DCA → ATL

Odds over time