WN 1585 · DCA → OKC

departs 1:30 PM ET · arrives 3:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at DCA that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at OKC that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.15 in

OKC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1585 · DCA → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?