Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1696
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 1696 · MIA → HOU
departs 8:20 PM ET · arrives 10:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±5 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from MIA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.