Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1762 LANDED 11:59 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 1762 · MDW → DCA

took off 9:38 AM CT · landed 11:59 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1762 · MDW → DCA

Odds over time