WN 2031 · HOU → DCA

departs 2:22 PM CT · arrives 6:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DCA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.12 in

DCA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2031 · HOU → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?