WN 2056 · DCA → CMH

took off 1:01 PM ET · landed 1:52 PM ET (scheduled 12:00 PM ET → 1:27 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CMH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.13 in

CMH (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2056 · DCA → CMH

Odds over time

How late did it get to CMH?