Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 2098 · HRL → HOU
departs 11:35 AM CT · arrives 12:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 27%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±8 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
14%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
14%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HRL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
11am departures from HRL are usually not late
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 1.51 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.