Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 2098 · HRL → HOU
departs 11:25 AM CT · arrives 12:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at HRL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
11am departures from HRL are usually not late
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.54 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.