Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
WN 2098 · HRL → HOU
departs 1:15 PM CT · arrives 2:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 22%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HRL that day
↑
Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 2.37 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.