Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2154
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 2154 · SAT → DAL
departs 5:45 PM CT · arrives 7:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Sun 10/4
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DAL that day
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.