WN 2196 · DCA → DAL

departs 6:11 AM ET · arrives 8:27 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DCA are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.09 in

DAL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2196 · DCA → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?