Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2425
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 2425 · DCA → OMA
departs 4:55 PM ET · arrives 6:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.14 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.