Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2998
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 2998 · MSY → HOU
departs 2:10 PM CT · arrives 3:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 30%
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day
↑
2pm departures from MSY are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.31 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.