Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2998
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 2998 · MSY → HOU
departs 4:00 PM CT · arrives 5:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MSY that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.14 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.