Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 3014 · DAL → DCA
departs 4:55 PM CT · arrives 8:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 30%
Fri 10/9 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±4 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DCA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.06 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.