WN 3022 · MHT → BWI

took off 5:45 AM ET · expected to land 6:57 AM ET (scheduled 5:40 AM ET → 7:34 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BWI that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MHT are usually not late

Weather at each end

MHT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.02 in

BWI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3022 · MHT → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?