WN 3022 · MHT → BWI

departs 5:29 AM ET · arrives 7:12 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MHT are usually not late

Weather at each end

MHT (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling333 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3022 · MHT → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?