Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3096
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 3096 · OGG → HNL
departs 3:45 PM HT · arrives 4:30 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 7%
Fri 10/9 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.