Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3096
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 3096 · OGG → HNL
departs 3:45 PM HT · arrives 4:30 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.