Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 381 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:03 AM ET, ETA 10:35 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 381 · DCA → MDW

took off 10:03 AM ET · expected to land 10:35 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.15 in

MDW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 381 · DCA → MDW

Odds over time