WN 4594 · BWI → CLT

departs 8:35 PM ET · arrives 10:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at BWI that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.10 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4594 · BWI → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?