Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4829 LANDED 11:50 AM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 4829 · DCA → PVD

took off 10:53 AM ET · landed 11:50 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ 10am departures from DCA are often late

↑ DCA is busy at that time

↓ PVD usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.15 in

PVD (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4829 · DCA → PVD

Odds over time