Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4914
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 4914 · ATL → HOU
departs 9:40 AM ET · arrives 10:45 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 24%
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±6 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.5d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day
↓
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.12 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.