Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4914
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 4914 · ATL → HOU
departs 9:30 AM ET · arrives 10:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.37 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.