WN 4967 · BNA → CLT

departs 10:15 AM CT · arrives 12:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4967 · BNA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?