WN 546 · DCA → BNA

departs 3:25 PM ET · arrives 4:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BNA that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.12 in

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 546 · DCA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?