Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3448
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
YX 3448 · CLT → EWR
departs 11:10 AM ET · arrives 1:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at EWR that day
↑
11am departures from CLT are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.34 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.