Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3714
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
YX 3714 · MYR → EWR
departs 6:50 PM ET · arrives 8:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 34%
Thu 10/8 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±5 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
20%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at EWR that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MYR (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.85 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.