Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3714
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
YX 3714 · MYR → EWR
departs 6:50 PM ET · arrives 8:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 10/4 58%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 34%
Thu 10/8 34%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±8 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MYR (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.83 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.