Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4345SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
YX 4345 · LGA → RIC
departs 9:29 PM ET · arrives 10:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 104h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Sunday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±27 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.