YX 4434 · DCA → MYR

departs 5:09 PM ET · arrives 7:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MYR?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 3.5 in of rain forecast at MYR that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.14 in

MYR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip3.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4434 · DCA → MYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MYR?