YX 4668 · DCA → BOS

departs 7:00 PM ET · arrives 8:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.12 in

BOS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4668 · DCA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?