tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4746 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 4746 · ORD → MDT

departs 8:00 AM CT · arrives 11:06 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
10% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 5.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MDT?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.