Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5708 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

YX 5708 · BNA → DCA

departs 6:05 AM CT · arrives 9:02 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.4 mi Precip0.47 in

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5708 · BNA → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?