Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5752
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
YX 5752 · DCA → LGA
departs 7:40 PM ET · arrives 9:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 37%
Tue 10/6 34%
Wed 10/7 44%
Thu 10/8 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
7pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.40 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.