Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA ECUADOR · FLIGHT 2K 7378 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

2K 7378 · GYE → MIA

departs 6:54 PM -05 · arrives 12:04 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GYE

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GYE (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

2K 7378 · GYE → MIA

Odds over time