Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4899 LANDED 1:12 PM CT, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 4899 · CID → MSP

took off 12:27 PM CT · landed 1:12 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MSP is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CID

Weather at each end

CID (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4899 · CID → MSP

Odds over time