Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4913 LANDED 4:30 PM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 4913 · MSP → DSM

took off 3:52 PM CT · landed 4:30 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ DSM is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4913 · MSP → DSM

Odds over time