9E 5036 · JFK → CLT

departs 8:21 PM ET · arrives 10:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5036 · JFK → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?